The desire to make change by predicting the future

2017-04-05 09:29 0

Universal Love Darenwu (Beijing) Technology Co., Ltd. intends to create income opportunities by creating creative sharing communities, so as to help people in difficulty in employment to create jobs with labor and wisdom as much as possible. The creative sharing community will bring about many changes in people's lives: changes in the way of shopping, such as more shopping by reservation; A change in the diversification of sources of income, such as income from producing ideas; Material consumption and spiritual consumption combined with the change of consumption mode. How to make people willing to try to change has become one of the difficulties of creative sharing community to develop the market. After reading the book Super Prediction -- The Art and Science of Predicting the Future, Deng Hongbo, founder of Jian-ai Da Renwu, decided that improving people's ability to predict the future was a way to force people to make changes.

"You and I are forecasters," the author writes at the beginning of "Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Predicting the Future." When considering changing jobs, getting married, buying a house, investing, launching new products and retiring, we base our decisions on our vision of the future. Such an outlook is a prediction." Although we are all forecasters, the accuracy of our predictions about the future varies greatly. If we can accurately obtain the relevant information and knowledge to predict the future, and have the right methods and skills to predict the future, the accuracy of our future prediction will be very high. And if we predict the risks that may arise in the future, we should make adequate preparations to deal with the risks as early as possible.

Deng Hongbo, founder of Jian-ai Da Renwu, said: "I've seen a feature story about a Foxconn employee who was unmoved by President Trump's threat to Apple to move production of Apple products back to the United States and the fact that Foxconn has started a machine replacement program that threatens his job, and I think that's a dangerous mindset. Many non-local drivers are still in no hurry to find other potential income opportunities after Beijing's new ride-hailing policy was announced late last year. "They didn't start looking for a new job until April 1 this year when Didi stopped sending them orders, and those who didn't start looking until then may have even greater anxiety."

In fact, learning to anticipate the future not only allows you to be prepared for future risks, but also makes it possible to be prepared for them. Learning to predict the future may also give you other benefits.

Learning to predict the future may help you reduce unnecessary losses. For example, after the price of an agricultural product rises, many farmers may increase production of that product. The next year, when the price of that product falls sharply due to oversupply, these farmers may lose heavily. In fact, by understanding the economic theory of supply and demand, we can predict that the likelihood of a product's price ever rising is almost zero. Therefore, it can avoid unnecessary losses caused by hasty follow-up when the price of a product rises.

Learning to predict the future will enable you to seize opportunities for success. For example, Ma Yun's prediction of the future e-commerce at the end of last century determined his efforts in the past and generated his great success now. Jack Ma predicted the great potential of e-commerce when he first went online and began to fight for it. He experienced many setbacks but did not give up and finally achieved great success. Speaking at the 2017 China (Shenzhen)IT Leaders Summit, Ma said: "When I started my business, I was thinking that my father had no background, no resources, and no uncle who worked in a bank. Since there is no accumulation, there are no resources. Since there is nothing, then need to compete for the judgment of the future. Whoever is right about the future will win." In fact, when Taobao first appeared, those who first set up shop on Taobao, most have become extremely rich. When Weibo and wechat public accounts first appeared, some people soon began to try to operate their own Weibo and wechat public accounts, and many of them also made profits. These people may have made accurate judgments about the future, so as to seize the opportunity to succeed.

Deng believes that predicting the future allows people to better grasp the present and make early changes and preparations for adapting to the future life. In this way, people can calmly face all kinds of risks and challenges that may arise in the future. The company hopes to forecast the economic situation and the new opportunities, challenges and risks that may appear in all walks of life on a regular basis, and publicize all the information, knowledge, skills and methods used in the forecast, so that people can use these contents to make a variety of forecasts.

What does the future hold? Let's make predictions!

Source: Corporate press release
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